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Original post by Rycross
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Original post by superpig
How many employees in an organisation have to exhibit bad behaviour before you'd consider it 'evidence' that there is something wrong with the organization as a whole? Seriously, I think that's a useful question to answer for the general case.
It depends on a lot of factors. If its 6 employees in an organization of 20, then yes, that's indicative of corruption. 6 in 100? Maybe. 6 in 1000? No, its not really. What is the size of ACORN anyway?
Good question. From
their homepage: "ACORN is the nation’s largest grassroots community organization of low- and moderate-income people with over 400,000 member families organized into more than 1,200 neighborhood chapters in about 75 cities across the country." So far we've seen videos from 5 of those chapters, or 0.42% of them.
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More relevant is whether they received orders, or whether compensation is set up, to specifically encourage fraud over legitimate canvassing. That's not an easy thing to prove.
Yes! Very good. To make statements about whether ACORN is corrupt purely based on sampling their offices is to reason inductively. Pattern-based inductive reasoning like that is unsound: by the same reasoning, the sun has risen every day in recorded human history, so we could conclude that it will continue to do so for every future day; but we already know that's not true! Observations like this are useless without an explanatory theory - such as, "there is insufficient oversight in some aspects of ACORN such that some chapters behave unacceptably," or "ACORN is a fundamentally and criminally corrupt organisation that endorses behaviour like this."
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Original post by BerwynIrish
You're telling me that you never consider the source? You think O'Reilly is going to wake up one day and decide to become honest?
I said that I'm not basing my judgement on O'Reilly, I'm basing it on the videos and on ACORN's statements and behaviour. Do you think the videos are fake?
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There's the possibility that you or others with the same degree of familiarity will walk away from this latest smear effort with vague recollections of a child prostitution ring, just as you and others have with the voter registration fraud smear. There's two audiences for this smear: The crazies who relish in it and the regular folks who don't pay that much attention but will probably end up with a vague negative connotation associated with ACORN. And with smear after smear, the vague negative connotations accumulate.
This is actually a complaint about the behaviour of the right-wing media, no? It's not relevant to whether ACORN is actually corrupt or not. The former is not what I'm interested in talking about here; the latter is what's interesting to me.
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Such things help me determine who I should spend my time giving serious consideration to. I suppose you make such decisions based on other criterion.
I'm going to be questioning and trying to refute what I'm told regardless of whether it's true or false. So, I'm more interested in whoever's making arguments I haven't heard before.
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If you look back at the full context of what I said, it's not too hard to see that my point wasn't that ACORN's goals could possibly excuse criminal behavior.
Then was your point relevant?
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My mistake. I was only aware of the one at the time. But I still haven't seen the rest myself and don't intend to waste my time with them. So if you don't mind, spell it out clearly for me: All seven of these employees were apparently willing to assist with child prostitution, yes or no?
Yes.
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Let us also note that one of these employees told these clever sting operatives that she killed her husband, which she in fact did not do, so it is safe to say that this one was definitely humoring these bozos.
I agree that she told them she killed her husband and that the police have determined that she did not. I don't think it's sound to conclude therefore that she was 'humouring' them - she might just as easily have been trying to impress them.
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Absent any other evidence, it would have to be huge. They don't have any memos from ACORN saying "it's dandy to offer up our organizational resources for criminal activity", do they? They don't have any ACORN employees saying "we were trained to welcome child prostituters with open arms", do they? They don't have any kind of paper trail linking the organization to criminal activity, do they? They don't have any evidence that ACORN has profited, even indirectly, one cent from any criminal activity, do they? They have nothing but a handful of low-level employees who were conceivably playing along with a gag.
Right, agreed.
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As I said in the Beck thread, throw these undercover assholes at any organization of ACORN's size with enough persistence and you're going to get similar results.
Mmmmmh... ACORN claims to be 400,000 people. I'm having a hard time coming up with many orgs of similar size that I'm familiar with, so it's tough to provide you with a counterexample. Microsoft's about 90,000 people and I don't think that you'd get similar results given enough persistence, but maybe they're just not big enough.
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Surely six [...] out of what must be over a thousand doesn't even come close for you, does it?
It's not proof of anything, certainly. It's six known-bad cases, and (over a thousand - 6) indeterminate cases. It'd be even less notable if it were 6 known-bad cases, "hundreds" of known-good cases (where they tried and got kicked out), and (over a thousand - 6 - "hundreds") of indeterminate cases.
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(subtracting the fake husband killer and very generously granting that the other six were genuine in the moment, and would have gone through with it - did it ever come to that in your videos?)
"would have gone through with it" - well, they
did give advice, and they
did look up tax codes and start filling out forms and so on. That seems to be like going through with it. This doesn't really cover the very latest video in San Diego, btw - the guy they spoke to there collected lots of information and asked lots of questions, and made promises to get back to them, which would be consistent with him gathering intel to give to the police.
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Maybe I wasn't giving you enough credit, but the bottom line is that you are taking seriously accusations originating from Fox News, accusations which don't hold up well to critical thinking, much less investigation.
Actually, the accusations originated from biggovernment.com - the place the videos were originally posted, I saw it there before I knew Fox were reporting it. But anyway, I want to improve my critical thinking. Can you tell me what I've missed here? As far as I can tell it hinges very much on how many offices they tried and failed at; is there another, more substantial problem in their story?
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What I realize is that if anybody is familiar with O'Reilly and Beck and takes them seriously, then they are beyond reason anyway.
I'm not familiar with them. I'm a Brit, I don't watch American news channels on a regular basis.
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The only sane response to them is to point and laugh.
That's very pessimistic. The people I was watching it with
are familiar with the network, and they're very much open to a reasonable argument.
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Their pattern of lying is relevant and needs to be pointed out on a regular basis, if not for the love of truth, then at least to counteract the cumulative negative connotation effect I noted above.
Pointing out the pattern is fine, but it's not persuasive unless you also demonstrate that the pattern is being continued,
and have an explanatory theory for why the pattern exists (which you sort of do).