[quote name='rozz666']
[quote name='Machaira' timestamp='1311272190' post='4838554']
[quote name='A Brain in a Vat' timestamp='1311271063' post='4838548']
This is absolutely ridiculous. By your logic it's impossible to state any negative statement at all without inserting "I believe".
Umm, use your common sense? I can't tell if you're being difficult on purpose or what.
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Do you believe something is true until evidence shows otherwise false, or do you not believe something until evidence shows it's most probably true?
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This depends entirely upon the claim that is being asserted. If I meet a stranger off the street and he says "Hi, my name is Bob." I would assume that his claim to be true. I don't have any reason why he would be using a false name to identify himself, and even if it were not his true name it really does not matter.
[/quote]
If you assumed his name doesn't matter, then considering whether it's true what he said doesn't matter. Therefore let's assume it does matter, so we can discuss this example :-) You know that people have names. You know that there are people named Bob. You know that people usually don't lie when asked about their names. Therefore (as the evidence suggests) it's reasonable to assume that his name may be Bob. Likewise, we don't know of any supernatural creatures creating universes, therefore... :-)
I agree with the rest of your post.