Quote: Looks like natural gas isn't lucrative enough to justify continued public expenditures on manned space flight (U.S. no longer a space-faring nation).
For one thing, the US government is NOT halting expenditures on manned space flight. Contracting commercial providers for delivery services to ISS still counts as "public expenditures." Not to mention the R&D that would occur under the new budget proposal (heavy-lift, propellant depots, etc.) is all directly applicable to manned space flight. For another, I don't think that's a very good op-ed to cite. Not only is it biased, but there's lots of misleading and/or incorrect information in that one. For instance, US astronauts will not stop flying into orbit, as the op-ed implies. With this plan, they'll simply be going up on Russian rockets more often (they already do) instead of US rockets. The US government is paying the Russians for those Soyuz seats - more "public expenditures". In fact, that was the previous plan, too, which would have retired the shuttle by 2010 and not had its "replacement" come online until 2014 at the earliest. Another example is the following quote:
Quote: China, India, and Japan, who 40 years ago could only peer over NASA’s shoulder, now look up with excitement at their spaceships hurtling away from the Earth. Indians plan to be on the moon by 2016, and China has begun to plan moon missions. Russia announced it will land on Mars before 2020.
None of the programs mentioned there would be manned - they would be robotic landers. So far as I or any of my sources are aware, none of those nations have the technology to mount a manned lunar or Mars mission in any of those timeframes. The claims that "China will land men on the moon by 2020" are pure cold war-esque sensationalism - the Chinese themselves have stated that they're planning on building a space station, not sending men to the moon. India hasn't even got an indigenous crewed spacecraft yet. One is funded and in the works, last I heard, but no crewed moon landers. The Russian space program hasn't got the money to go to Mars as far as I know.
Then there is the claim that the Ares rocket is "successfully-tested," which is incorrect. The Ares I rocket would have consisted of a five-segment shuttle-heritage booster rocket as its first stage with a completely new upper stage. The Ares I-X test consisted of a four-segment shuttle booster (basically the same thing as the one currently in use on the shuttle, and different from the one that would have been in use on the final Ares I configuration) with a dummy upper stage. The actual upper-stage has never been fabricated and the engine, the J2-X, that would power it has never even been test-fired yet. Even the aerodynamics of the Ares I haven't been tested, since Ares I-X used a different nose cone shape and first stage, meaning that its trajectory was quite different from that of the Ares I. All in all that means that the one and only flight test of an "Ares I", Ares I-X was NOT representative of the actual rocket that would have flown. That means that the only "tested" component of any Ares I hardware would have been the five-segment first stage which was test fire on the ground last year.
Therefore, despite NASA management's attempts to claim the contrary, no Ares rocket has ever flown, since the Ares I-X test shared almost nothing in common with the actual rocket concept it was supposed to be proving. Ares I-X was basically a shuttle booster with a can stuck on top - a huge flying model rocket that happens to look very much like an Ares I. That's not enough to call Ares I "successfully-tested."
In any case, while I agree that NASA being "directionless" is a bad thing, saying that the US is "no longer a space-faring nation" is premature at best and downright incorrect at worst. There is also this which would remedy a lot of the problems presented in the op-ed.
edit: By the way, for anyone who's interested in following this stuff, nasaspaceflight.com is an amazing source. The site appears to have a lot of access to NASA internal documentation (memos, power-points, etc), so the material in the articles isn't just paraphrasing whatever the NASA public-affairs office puts out the way many other news sources do it. Also, the forums have some incredibly knowledgeable people on them - including, I believe, guys who actually work at or with NASA or other space-related agencies and companies.
[Edited by - Oberon_Command on March 4, 2010 12:36:41 AM]