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A naive economic, recession fixing question

Started by July 14, 2009 10:08 AM
262 comments, last by HostileExpanse 15 years, 3 months ago
Quote: Original post by Zahlman
Quote: Original post by trzy
Quote: How so? Investment in infrastructure and the higher wages that come with unions sounds like a path that will generate far greater revenue than the failed strategies of the Bush years that you seem to favor.


Union jobs? Like factory workers for the Big 3? Spare us.


"Oh, noes, 3 companies fucked up, so we better not invest in trying to help them or anyone else. It's clearly a losing proposition to build these things when we could be using it to blow up a desert."


Why should the government be taking sides? Let the people sort it out. The unions are out for themselves and are not necessarily interested in promoting policies that reward efficiency and economic productivity, which is what the government must take an interest in if it wants to "stimulate" the economy. Why grant them the backing of the government in accomplishing their goals? That's sounds like petty cronyism to me. "Hey, you voted for us, now we're going to steer the big bucks your way."

You think this is appropriate?

Quote: Um, unemployment, perhaps?


Duh.

If I were starting a company or opening a factory, remind me of why I ought to locate it in the United States again? I would do everything in my power to keep unions out.

Quote:
"Oh, noes, the state governments are bloated and inefficient, so we'd better not delegate any of the work to them. Never mind that they're the ones who have jurisdiction to implement some of the things that we want to implement to make this thing work." And besides, to hear you talk, the federal government is just as bad, so why should it make a difference?


The state governments can't support themselves. Why don't they just downsize? Isn't that smarter? Look at California, once the jewel of the US economy, now on a dangerous path to collapse and stagnation. "Oh but it has tech companies!" you might say. Well, we'll see for how long. Betting that Silicon Valley and Hollywood are going to bear the brunt of government costs forever is stupid. More and more companies will set up shop outside the state, and those within the state are slowly going to move out. It's already happening.

Quote: "Oh, noes, heaven forbid we should invest in any of THOSE things. Keeping people fit to work? Teaching people what they need to know in order to work when they get old enough? Can't have that!"


Government schools don't teach kids what they need to know. Obviously you've never attended a US public school. Education budgets keep growing, but standards of education keep falling. The powerful teachers unions exist only to protect incompetent teachers and the system that prevents talented competition from entering their labor pool. The argument that schools are underfunded can no longer be accepted as valid, given that this is the argument always put forth. How many times do you have to be wrong before I stop listening?

I used to be for government-funded education. I still think it's a good idea in principle, but I've seen enough already. In the United States at least, we would be better off to disband the entire education system. Let's set a date, 4 years in the future, when all public schools will be closed and their assets auctioned off. Perhaps allow teenagers easier access to apprenticeships and employment. Shocking as it sounds, the result would probably be better than what we have now. We'd end up with better educated kids and a more skilled labor force.

Quote:
1) You're the one who's arguing against supporting the Big 3 auto makers, not to mention investments in "infrastructure". Unless you only skimmed that first quote, picked up on the word "union", and decided to respond with a canned talking point.


What do the Big 3 have to do with improved highway and freight capacity for moving goods around?

Quote:
2) FSDFLKJSFKLJSDFJKLD IT SAYS RIGHT THERE WITH A PRETTY BLUE CIRCLE, 30 BILLION FOR HIGHWAY CONSTRUCTION. Almost 2/3 of the money allocated to "construction" as opposed to "other programs", and Mr. Stalk still sees fit to claim this "will produce newly painted bridges and newly paved roads but is unlikely to address the capacity problem"? WTF?


That could simply mean highway repair. If I'm not mistaken, Caltrans alone uses $6-$8 billion annually for servicing California's highway system. We'll see whether this leads to widened freeways.

Quote:
3) The article is arguing that you "need" this highway capacity so that you can continue manufacturing things where it's cheap and distributing it all over without offsetting the savings. This ignores that "where it's cheap" is typically outside the country (so if anything, you'd be looking at building more ships and airplanes). It also ignores the hidden economic costs of pollution.


Goods have to make their way inland. Likewise, commute times are insane in some parts of the country due to suburban sprawl. Sometimes it's not even sprawl so much as geography being against you. Seattle has numerous bottlenecks that are hard to fix. The government here is finally looking into widening the SR-520 bridge (Seattle to Redmond) but as all they're doing is adding a carpool lane, it will be too little too late, I'm afraid.

Quote: Do I dare ask you to show your reasoning for this?


There's no evidence that these climate change models are going to hold for the next 100 years. Additionally, nobody is considering the negating factors of technological improvements and higher crop yields. The much-vaunted climate change models failed to predict the halting of temperature increases over the last decade. I'm surprised you think some crude numerical simulations are going to hold for the next 100 years. I'm sure they're just one tweak away from making them work...

----Bart
Quote: Original post by Oluseyi
Quote: Original post by Mithrandir
It seems the only people who are calling Obama "the messiah" are his detractors. I've never seen anyone claim he's going to fix everything instantly. And I'm pretty sure he doesn't have a kung-fu chop action figure yet either.

Ummm...




Ninjabama

Reminds me of The Legend of Koizumi mahjong manga, Reform with no Wasted Draws!

Will Obama visit Hiroshima next month? He really should.
"I thought what I'd do was, I'd pretend I was one of those deaf-mutes." - the Laughing Man
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Quote: Original post by trzy
Government schools don't teach kids what they need to know. Obviously you've never attended a US public school. Education budgets keep growing, but standards of education keep falling. The powerful teachers unions exist only to protect incompetent teachers and the system that prevents talented competition from entering their labor pool. The argument that schools are underfunded can no longer be accepted as valid, given that this is the argument always put forth. How many times do you have to be wrong before I stop listening?

I used to be for government-funded education. I still think it's a good idea in principle, but I've seen enough already. In the United States at least, we would be better off to disband the entire education system. Let's set a date, 4 years in the future, when all public schools will be closed and their assets auctioned off. Perhaps allow teenagers easier access to apprenticeships and employment. Shocking as it sounds, the result would probably be better than what we have now. We'd end up with better educated kids and a more skilled labor force.


That's absurd. The idea that the system prevents talented competition from entering the teaching labor pool is false on it's face. That an argument is always made does not make the argument invalid. California used to have the best schools in the nation. Then it cut property taxes and funding and the expected happened and the quality of it's schools fell to the bottom. Attacks on teacher's unions are part and parcel of the general attack on unions that conservatives have made for 150 years, but they're also part of the war on science of recent years. People that want to destroy teachers unions also want to put an end to the teaching of evolution, to the separation of church and state, to sex education, and the history of the civil right movement, they want to restore prayer in school and establish that the Constitution is crafted on biblical principles. The idea that abolishing public schools would result in better educated kids and a more skilled labor force is utterly ridiculous and anyone who thinks that ought to made a laughingstock. That's a sure fire prescription for a massively unskilled labor force and an end to any semblance of a middle class.

Quote:
There's no evidence that these climate change models are going to hold for the next 100 years. Additionally, nobody is considering the negating factors of technological improvements and higher crop yields. The much-vaunted climate change models failed to predict the halting of temperature increases over the last decade. I'm surprised you think some crude numerical simulations are going to hold for the next 100 years. I'm sure they're just one tweak away from making them work...


Get your facts straight. Temperatures in the last decade are the hottest on record. Last Year Among Hottest On Record, Say Scientists (January 12, 2008)

Quote:
...
The 2007 average was the same as for 1998, which was the hottest year on record until 2005 hit a global average of 58.3 degrees Fahrenheit
...
Pomerance said he is particularly alarmed by NASA's findings on temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere and the Arctic, which have warmed faster than other parts of the globe. Schmidt and his colleagues concluded that 2007 is the warmest year on record for the Northern Hemisphere, with a 1.9-degree-Fahrenheit rise over the 1951-80 average, a difference he called "quite significant."
...


All 11 hottest years were in last 13: UK Met Office (Dec 13, 2007)

Quote:
LONDON (Reuters) - The 11 warmest years on record have all occurred in the last 13 years, with 2007 set to be the seventh hottest since 1950, according to provisional global data from the UK's Met Office and the University of East Anglia.

The top eight hottest years since global records began are all this century, except the hottest of all, 1998, when the mean global temperature was 0.52 degrees Celsius above the long-term average for 1961-1990.
...


I can supply more information on this subject if you'd like. Meanwhile, you ought to reconsider where you get your news from because they are misinforming you.

"I thought what I'd do was, I'd pretend I was one of those deaf-mutes." - the Laughing Man
Quote: Original post by trzy
Government schools don't teach kids what they need to know. Obviously you've never attended a US public school. Education budgets keep growing, but standards of education keep falling. The powerful teachers unions exist only to protect incompetent teachers and the system that prevents talented competition from entering their labor pool. The argument that schools are underfunded can no longer be accepted as valid, given that this is the argument always put forth. How many times do you have to be wrong before I stop listening?

I used to be for government-funded education. I still think it's a good idea in principle, but I've seen enough already. In the United States at least, we would be better off to disband the entire education system. Let's set a date, 4 years in the future, when all public schools will be closed and their assets auctioned off. Perhaps allow teenagers easier access to apprenticeships and employment. Shocking as it sounds, the result would probably be better than what we have now. We'd end up with better educated kids and a more skilled labor force.
lulz ... the extremism of the anti-government types is an endless source of amusement.

"LET'S GO BACK TO THE OLD WAY OF DOING THINGS WHICH WERE WORSE BY FAR, JUST BECAUSE I'VE DEEMED THAT THE SYSTEM ISN'T UP TO MY FICKLE STANDARDS TODAY."









Here's an idea ....instead of spouting all of the supposed "problems," try actually checking the facts and stick to discussing those.

[Edited by - HostileExpanse on July 16, 2009 7:18:40 PM]
Tying tests to funding is not working. I believe this is causing some of the "dumbing" down of the standards. I know the US makes alot of the new tech (not all but alot) so we've moved more into the intellectual realm. But the country seems to try to compete in a market (exporting physical goods) when it should be selling "knowledge". Moving more into selling intellect. Sorry if that's clear as mud.

Beginner in Game Development?  Read here. And read here.

 

Quote: Original post by Alpha_ProgDes
Tying tests to funding is not working. I believe this is causing some of the "dumbing" down of the standards. I know the US makes alot of the new tech (not all but alot) so we've moved more into the intellectual realm.

Sure.Taking in account how mush very talent people migrated in US...


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Quote: Original post by LessBread
That's absurd. The idea that the system prevents talented competition from entering the teaching labor pool is false on it's face. That an argument is always made does not make the argument invalid. California used to have the best schools in the nation. Then it cut property taxes and funding and the expected happened and the quality of it's schools fell to the bottom. Attacks on teacher's unions are part and parcel of the general attack on unions that conservatives have made for 150 years, but they're also part of the war on science of recent years. People that want to destroy teachers unions also want to put an end to the teaching of evolution, to the separation of church and state, to sex education, and the history of the civil right movement, they want to restore prayer in school and establish that the Constitution is crafted on biblical principles. The idea that abolishing public schools would result in better educated kids and a more skilled labor force is utterly ridiculous and anyone who thinks that ought to made a laughingstock. That's a sure fire prescription for a massively unskilled labor force and an end to any semblance of a middle class.

Nice smear. Religious nonsense and economic issues are however entirely orthogonal matters.

Either way, these conservatives of lore, didnt they hold the presidential office and congress not too long ago? Have they not done so fairly often, often the past 150 years?

It seems to me all that ever happened was further centralization of education. And it is silly to expect any different from a central government.
Quote: Original post by LessBread
That explains a large portion of the complaints about the stimulus, but outside of that it seems that we may have lost our capacity for patience. I want to be stimulated now!!!


Dare I say TWSS? :)
While I strongly believe that there is a place for private education and would even go so far as t say vouchers would be a good things... The public education system IS underfunded for the most part. We pay more per student then any other nation in the world, that is true. The problem is the way it is collected and distributed. Money for schools is generally collected through property taxes at a local level. This means that while those in nice, wealthy neighborhoods have very well funded schools. The shitty neighborhoods in this country, probably the place where a good public education system would help the country the most overall, ARE underfunded.
Quote: Original post by LessBread
That's absurd. The idea that the system prevents talented competition from entering the teaching labor pool is false on it's face. That an argument is always made does not make the argument invalid. California used to have the best schools in the nation. Then it cut property taxes and funding and the expected happened and the quality of it's schools fell to the bottom. Attacks on teacher's unions are part and parcel of the general attack on unions that conservatives have made for 150 years, but they're also part of the war on science of recent years. People that want to destroy teachers unions also want to put an end to the teaching of evolution, to the separation of church and state, to sex education, and the history of the civil right movement, they want to restore prayer in school and establish that the Constitution is crafted on biblical principles. The idea that abolishing public schools would result in better educated kids and a more skilled labor force is utterly ridiculous and anyone who thinks that ought to made a laughingstock. That's a sure fire prescription for a massively unskilled labor force and an end to any semblance of a middle class.


Tying property taxes to California's abysmal education system seems more than a little far fetched. Since the 50's and 60's, California (and the larger nation) has undergone a number of changes that are probably more relevant. I found this web site by the National Center for Education Statistics. It says California's per-pupil expenditures are $8909. Washington state is slightly lower at $8480 but with a slightly better pupil-to-teacher ratio of 19.1 (vs. Cali's 20.9.) Academic achievement is better, particularly in mathematics, in Washington. D.C. spends an astonishing $14699 per student with a stellar pupil-to-teacher ratio of 13.5. Yet its students are as dumb as bricks.

At the very least, the federal Dept. of Education ought to be disbanded. There is no reason for it to exist. The strength of the United States is that it is like 50 independent policy laboratories that can compete and learn from each other. Enforcing nation-wide norms stifles this process.

Next, some states should eliminate teacher's unions and disband the education system entirely after grade 6 and then maybe everything altogether. I think the education system does a decent job through elementary school but then fails to teach anything valuable after that. My own personal experience (and that of many of my friends) has been that apart from mathematics and science, nothing was learned in middle school and high school. I learned history out of my own personal curiosity. Most of my fellow students "learned" it from school, which is to say they have no knowledge of history or even basic geography at all. I never read any of the required literature in high school because it was boring. I instead found ways to cheat. I re-read most of it later on of my own free will. My fellow classmates stuttered aloud through Shakespeare and absorbed nothing. And those fellow classmates of mine mostly elected not to take additional math classes beyond the bare minimum required. So what exactly did they learn?

Kids and teenagers have a great deal of curiosity and legitimate intellectual interests that ought to be nurtured by the education system rather than destroyed. Some things are appropriate, even necessary, to learn in a linear, rote fashion but other subjects require a more tailored approach, which the bureaucratized education system cannot handle. Different communities face different educational challenges as well.

The bit about evolution in your post above didn't make any sense to me. I think it's a distraction. I'm not talking about teaching evolution, so don't pretend that everyone who wants to do away with government education camps is in favor of such nonsense. Besides, it's not as if students are being taught evolution in any American classroom today.

Don't hate the children, LessBread. Help save their future! Give them a quality education!
----Bart

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